Keith Finlay
Economist — U.S. Census Bureau
Appointments
U.S. Census Bureau, Research Economist (2015–)
Tulane University, Department of Economics, Assistant Professor (2007–2015)
Education
Ph.D. University of California, Irvine
Economics, 2007
M.A. University of California, Irvine
Economics, 2006
B.A. Reed College, Portland, OR
Economics, 2000
Publications
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Adverse Childhood Experiences and Young Adult Socioeconomic Disadvantages.
2025.
(with Shawn Ratcliff, Jordan Papp, Megan C. Kearns, Phyllis Holditch Niolon, and Cora Peterson).
Forthcoming in Health Affairs.
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Race and Ethnicity (Mis)measurement in the U.S. Criminal Justice System.
2024.
(with Elizabeth Luh and Michael Mueller-Smith).
Forthcoming in NBER conference volume.
doi.
Also released as NBER WP 32657.
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The Impact of Criminal Financial Sanctions: A Multi-State Analysis of Survey and Administrative Data.
2024.
(with Matthew Gross, Carl Lieberman, Elizabeth Luh, and Michael Mueller-Smith).
American Economic Review: Insights 6(4): 490–508.
doi.
Also released as NBER WP 31581.
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Children's Indirect Exposure to the U.S. Justice System: Evidence from Longitudinal Links between Survey and Administrative Data.
2023.
(with Michael Mueller-Smith and Brittany Street).
Quarterly Journal of Economics 138(4): 2181-2224.
[Supplementary materials].
doi.
Also released as NBER WP 31262.
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Criminal Justice Involvement, Self-Employment, and Barriers in Recent Public Policy.
2023.
(with Michael Mueller-Smith and Brittany Street).
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 42(1): 11-34.
doi.
Earlier version released as Census Bureau ADEP Working Paper 2020-04.
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The Criminal Justice Administrative Records System: A Next-Generation Research Data Platform.
2022.
(with Michael Mueller-Smith and Jordan Papp).
Scientific Data 9(1): 562.
doi.
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Justice-Involved Individuals in the Labor Market since the Great Recession.
2021.
(with Michael Mueller-Smith).
ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 695(1): 107–22.
gs.
doi.
Also released as Census Bureau ADEP Working Paper 2021-04.
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Measuring All-Cause Mortality with the Census Numident File.
2021.
(with Katie Genadek).
American Journal of Public Health 111(S2): S141–S148. [Supplementary materials].
doi.
Also released as Census Bureau ADEP Working Paper 2021-03.
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Racial Disparities In Excess All-Cause Mortality During the Early COVID-19 Pandemic Varied Substantially across States.
2021.
(with Maria Polyakova, Victoria Udalova, Geoffrey Kocks, Katie Genadek, and Amy Finkelstein).
Health Affairs 40(2): 307–16.
gs.
doi.
Also released as Census Bureau SEHSD Working Paper 2021-01.
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Two Applications of Wild Bootstrap Methods to Improve Inference in Cluster-IV Models.
2019.
(with Leandro Magnusson).
Journal of Applied Econometrics 34(6): 911–33. [Supplementary materials].
gs.
doi.
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Identifying Demand Responses to Illegal Drug Supply Interdictions.
2016.
(with Scott Cunningham).
Health Economics 25(10): 1268–90.
gs.
doi.
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Is Mississippi's Prescription-only Precursor Control Law a Prescription to Decrease the Production and Raise the Price of Methamphetamine?.
2015.
(with Scott Cunningham and Charles Stoecker).
International Journal of Drug Policy 26(11): 1144–49.
gs.
doi.
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Willingness-to-Accept Pharmaceutical Retail Inconvenience: Evidence from a Contingent Choice Experiment.
2015.
(with Charles Stoecker and Scott Cunningham).
PLoS ONE 10(5): e0126790.
gs.
doi.
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Who Benefits from Tax Evasion?
2013.
(with James Alm).
Economic Analysis and Policy 43(2): 139–54.
gs.
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Parental Substance Use and Foster Care:
Evidence from Two Methamphetamine Supply Shocks.
2013.
(with Scott Cunningham).
Economic Inquiry 51(1): 764–82. Online appendix.
gs.
doi.
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Is Marriage Always Better for Children?
Evidence from Families Affected by Incarceration.
2010.
(with David Neumark).
Journal of Human Resources 45(4): 1046–88.
Also released as NBER WP 13928.
gs.
doi.
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Implementing Weak Instrument Robust Tests for a General
Class of Instrumental Variables Models.
2009.
(with Leandro Magnusson).
Stata Journal 9(3): 398–421.
gs.
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Effect of Employer Access to Criminal History Data on the
Labor Market Outcomes of Ex-Offenders and Non-Offenders.
2009.
In David H. Autor, editor,
Studies of Labor Market Intermediation, pp. 89–125.
University of Chicago Press and NBER.
Also released as NBER WP 13935.
gs.
Desert island discs
- Miles Davis. Someday My Prince Will Come.
- Harry Belafonte. Belafonte at Carnegie Hall.
- Taj Mahal. The Natch'l Blues.
- Tom Waits. Orphans: Bawlers.
This is a personal website. The research on this website is my own and does not represent the views of the U.S. Census Bureau.